The Intrinsic Value Podcast 对 $FIX 的判断变化

2026-08-29看跌
Comfort Systems (FIX): The Five-Bagger We Passed On
Comfort Systems是一家高质量且增长强劲的企业,但当前估值过高,加之AI业务的周期性敞口和缺乏安全边际,买入风险过大,因此保持观望。

当你因为一只股票太贵而放弃它,结果它却成为我们覆盖过的最佳表现者之一,会发生什么?这基本上就是我们与 Comfort Systems 的故事。

What happens when you pass on a stock for being too expensive and it goes on to become one of the best performers that we've ever covered? That's basically our story with Comfort Systems.

我们心中有一个公允价值目标,但股价直接突破了它,而我们却袖手旁观。今天,我们将找出我们到底错过了什么,以及昂贵是否真的是我们以为的那个陷阱。

We had a fair value target in mind and the stock blew right through it and we sat on our hands and watched. Today, we're going to find out what exactly we missed and whether expensive was ever really the trap that we thought it was.

2026-08-28看跌
Ranking the Best Serial Acquirers in Markets: Tier List
Comfort Systems被评为D级系列收购者,因其过度暴露于AI资本开支的周期性,当支出下降时存在减速风险。

好的,这让我们来到今天最后的连环收购者,Comfort Systems。我可以先开始,因为我最初在播客上向我们的同事丹尼尔推荐了Comfort Systems。非常有趣的公司。

All right. Well, that brings us to our last serial acquirer of the day, Comfort Systems. Uh I can kick us off a little bit here because I actually originally pitched Comfort Systems on the podcast to our colleague uh to our colleague Daniel. Um really interesting company.

嗯,我没想到它已经涨了5倍,凯尔?>> 是的。>> 是的,我没想到自从去年春天我说它被高估以来,它已经涨了5倍。所以,你对我说的要有所保留。

Uh, I was not expecting it to Has it been a 5x, Kyle? >> Yes. >> Yeah. I was not expecting it to um 5x since I called it overvalued uh in the spring of last year. So, uh you know, take what I say with uh with a a grain of salt.

2026-08-15
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
更早的 1 条正文需要订阅
最近 2 条的正文公开可读。更早的条目保留日期与方向,正文随订阅解锁。
订阅 · 30 天完整试用