The Compound 对 $MSFT 的判断变化

2026-09-04看涨
How to Pick Stocks Like Morgan Stanley | TCAF 258
微软近期股价回升,归因于其与萨姆·奥尔特曼的分离以及OpenAI排他性的结束,这改善了其在更廉价AI模型方面的定位。

要说你有多讨厌微软。突然之间我们……我们谈论它,我们谈论它,然后选举继续进行,然后……有人又开始谈论它了。

To say how much you hate Microsoft. Suddenly we were We talk about it, and we talk About it, then it comes The elections are going ahead, and... Someone is back talking about it.

在像甲骨文和微软这样的公司之间,有区别吗?当然。微软和强生是市场上仅存的两家被评为AAA级的公司。

Is there a difference? Among companies like Oracle And Microsoft? certainly. Microsoft "and Johnson & Johnson" They are the only two names The two remaining in the market Rated AAA.

微软就在那里。因为我相信,上个月对他们故事真正关键的是,在一个月前的财报电话会议上,资本支出评论有所软化,而股价对此反应非常积极。

Microsoft is there. Because I believe that what was Truly crucial to their story in Last month is how Softening comments Capital spending in Earnings call before A month, and the stock reacted very positively with that.

2026-08-28看跌
The Four Horsemen of the AI Apocalypse | TCAf 257
MSFT的AI收入主要来自OpenAI和Anthropic;相对于超过2600亿美元的资本支出,MSFT AI产品的有机需求疲软。

Microsoft 在资本支出上花费数十亿美元,这能带来多少收益?

How much does Microsoft? They're spending billions of dollars on capex. How much does this make?

我认为 Microsoft 的运营支出约为 1500 亿美元。Microsoft、Google、Amazon 和 Meta 提高了价格,并改变了广告拍卖机制。

I think Microsoft's OPEX is like 150 billion Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, cranked up prices, changed ad auction stuff.

UBS、Barclays 和 Wells Fargo 等分析师的预期显示,Google、Amazon 和 Microsoft 的云收入中有 4400 亿美元来自 OpenAI 和 Anthropic 等需要不断融资的无利可图的初创公司。

Analyst expectations uh from like UBS, Barkclays and uh Wells Fargo have $440 billion of cloud revenue across Google, Amazon and Microsoft coming just from open air and anthropic to unprofitable startups who need to constantly raise money

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2026-08-25
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