The Intrinsic Value Podcast 对 $MSFT 的判断变化

2026-08-20
Ranking SaaS Best Buys Today and Long-Term + Watchlist Review
MSFT在长期(10年)质量/根深蒂固方面属于S级,但短期估值方面为B级,因为大量AI资本支出的投资回报不确定。

嗯,我们收到了一个请求,要求接下来做微软。那我们做这个怎么样?嗯,我想上次我们也谈了一点微软。就在我们报道MX7的时候,对我来说,它是七巨头中唯一一家我觉得自己没有强烈观点的公司。

比如,如果我看亚马逊,我有相当强烈的观点;如果我看谷歌或Alphabet,我有强烈的观点;但微软的情况并非如此。

Well, we got a request to do Microsoft next. So, how about we do that? Um I think even last time we talked a bit about Microsoft. Uh just when we cover the MX7 to me it's like the one Mac 7 company where I feel like I I just don't have a strong opinion like it probably if I would look at Amazon I have a pretty strong opinion if I look at you know Google or Alphabet I have a strong opinion not so much the case for Microsoft

2026-08-13
Ranking Mag7 Companies and AI Stocks
微软被评为B/C级,因其软件质量“尚可”且与同行相比长期上行空间较低,尽管拥有强大的分销优势。

所以,我们今天要做的是,我们准备了一个分级列表。实际上我们有两个分级列表。所以,首先,我们将讨论最大的 7 家公司,正如你在这里看到的。此外,我们还有一些额外的。所以,我们将讨论最大的 7 家,比如 Meta、Google、Microsoft 这些公司。

So, what we'll do today, um, we have a tier list prepared. We actually have two tier lists. So, for one, we will talk about um the max 7 companies as you can see here. Plus, we have some extras. So, we will talk about the Max 7s like you know, Meta, Google, Microsoft, those those sorts of companies.

而且总的来说,我认为 Sean,当我们报道 Microsoft 时,你有很多这样的循环交易,这也是一家我们可能会列出的公司,也许我们应该接下来做那个。我认为当我们在那一集中做研究时,我们只是坐在那里试图弄清楚在这些循环交易中资金到底流向哪里,这非常困难。

and just generally you have a lot of these circular deals I think Sean when we covered Microsoft um which is also a company that we will list maybe we should do that one next um I think when we did the research in the episode, we were just sitting there trying to figure out where money is actually going in all of these circular deals and it was incredibly difficult.

2026-08-01看涨
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