Verified Investing 对 $QQQ 的判断变化

2026-08-31看跌

《Nobody Is Trading: The Volume Signal Under Today's Selloff》

那么，我们先从今天的标普500和QQQ说起。它们都在下跌，对吧？标普和QQQ都在下跌，但我希望你们注意一些事情。

So, let's start with the S&P and the QQQ today. They're down, right? S&P and Q's are both down, but I want you to pay attention to something.

QQQ的成交量大约在1450万股，甚至不到，但接近1450万股，而过去30天的平均成交量是3600万股。

14 and a half, not even, but around 14.5 million shares traded on the Q's compared to 36 mil on the average for the past 30 days

如果这条上升趋势线最终被跌破，各位，我预计QQQ将至少跌至660附近，那将是相当可观的跌幅。过去几周我一直在说标普500和QQQ有点脱钩了。

If this ups sloping trend line ends up breaking, guys, I anticipate a fall closer to at least 660 on the Q's, which would be that would be pretty decent. I've spoken over the past couple weeks about how the S&P and the Q's have kind of decoupled.

看原视频00:46

2026-08-26看跌

《Yields Surge On Sticky PCE As NVDA Earnings Hit Live》

QQQ在连续六天斜向下跌后呈现看跌盘整；预计在下行前会出现企稳或潜在反弹。

现在，QQQ 开始形成更多看跌的盘整。过去大约六个交易日一直在对角线下行。这需要停止，进行某种形式的盘整，然后才能再次下探。

Into the queues, you can see here, too, much like on the S&P 500, didn't really do too much today. It did finish up .09% but really just kind of closing in line with price action yesterday. Now, the queues are starting to start to form a little bit more bearish consolidation. The last six trading days or so have been diagonally moving down. This needs to end up stopping, put in some sort of consolidation, and then it can make another leg lower.

通常，下跌走势会以价格反弹上涨结束。因此，通过更多的横向震荡来稳定下跌会更好。让我们看看未来几天 QQQ 是否会出现这种情况。

Generally, the decline movement down ends with price action actually bouncing and going up. So, a stabilized decline would be better with some more sideways chop. So, we'll see if we get that in the coming days on the QQQ.

看原视频02:06

方向翻转

2026-08-24

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