Verified Investing 对 $VLO 的判断变化

2026-09-04看跌
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做空Valero;预计当前高裂解价差利润率在劳动节后收窄。

我要说的是,像瓦莱罗能源和PSX这样的炼油商现在有巨大的裂解价差,这太荒谬了,因为他们简直是在印钱,因为他们的利润率如此之高,就像他们在加油站向你和我收取的驾驶等费用,与他们购买石油的成本相比。

现在这非常巨大。我确实预计劳动节后这会缩小,我已经将瓦莱罗能源列为未来几周我最喜欢的做空标的之一。

One thing I will say is you have refiners like Valero and PSX which have a massive crack spread right now and it's so ridiculous because they are literally printing money because the the the margins of this are so like what they're charging you and I to drive etc at the gas pump compared to what they're getting that oil for. Um it is massive right now. I do expect that to shrink after Labor Day and I have highlighted Valero as one of my favorite shorts here over the next couple weeks.

2026-09-03看跌
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Valero是当前偏好的做空标的;盘前上涨约1.50美元,逼近重大阻力位,走势极度延伸且出现负背离,在波段交易层面面临显著回调。

我最喜欢的做空标的之一仍然是瓦莱罗能源。瓦莱罗能源目前盘前上涨约1.5美元。看看这里的趋势线。这更像是一次波段交易,但瓦莱罗能源再次面临重大阻力,极度延伸,开始出现负背离。我确实认为这家炼油商在波段交易基础上即将迎来显著回调,而且我确实与智钱股票和ETF的成员一起持有该股的空头头寸。

Uh, one of my favorite shorts remains Valero. Valero, which right now is trading up about a buck 50 pre-market. Look at this trend line here. And this is more of a swing trade, but Valero again uh into major resistance, extremely extended, starting to put in negative divergences. Uh I do think that this refiner is due for a significant correction on a swing trade basis and I do have a position in this one on the short side with members of smart money uh stocks and ETFs.