$ADBE

ADBE

Adobe Inc.

本窗口内的全部观点与内容

截至 09-06
09-05
Everything Money发布 2026-09-05
The $2 Trillion Software Crash Just Created a Once-in-a-Decade Opportunity
$ADBE未站边
Adobe并非一家更差的公司,只是增长放缓;AI威胁核心业务,但AI收入已增至超过5亿美元,股价较峰值下跌约21%。

想想 Salesforce、Adobe 和 Microsoft 这样的公司。

Think of companies like Salesforce, Adobe, and Microsoft.

即使是强大的 Adobe 公司也下跌了 25%。

Even the powerful Adobe company has dropped by 25%.

Adobe 的股价下跌了 73%。

Adobe's stock fell by 73% .

你应该看到我因买入 Adobe 股票并认为它们很棒而受到的批评。我记得看到 YouTube 和 Instagram 上的人发消息说:“我为什么要听这个人的?”“这就是那个喜欢 Adobe 的人。”

You should have seen the criticism I received for buying Adobe shares and thinking they were great. I remember seeing messages from people on YouTube and Instagram saying, "Why am I listening to this guy?" "This is the guy who loves Adobe."

09-04
The Investor Channel发布 2026-09-04
ROBOTAXI Takeover! | NVDA META POP | AI MODELS
$ADBE看跌
作为AI应用软件公司,ADBE面临充满挑战的多年环境;近期技术面显示在下降趋势线处遭遇强烈拒绝。

然而,对于许多AI应用软件公司,如Autodesk和Adobe,如果你知道我的论点,软件应用层在未来几年将是一个充满挑战的环境。

However, for a lot of AI application software companies like Autodesk and Adobe, if you know my thesis, the application layer of software is going to be a challenging environment for the next couple of years.

我已经注意到许多软件股,包括Adobe,已经到达这个下降趋势线,然后遇到强烈的拒绝。

I've already noticed that a number of software stocks, including Adobe, have reached this descending trendline and then encountered strong rejection.

Schwab Network发布 2026-09-04
Options Corner: ADBE Sees New Leadership Ahead of Earnings
$ADBE看跌
ADBE因AI竞争和技术形态面临下行风险,财报后可能下跌。

许多此类公司的股票仍处于亏损状态,例如苹果、甲骨文、Adobe 等。所以,Adobe 几乎处于该列表的底部,在我看来,这是风险之一,尤其是并非直接因为生成式 AI。

The shares of many such companies are still in losses, such as Apple, Oracle, Adobe, etc. So, Adobe is almost at the bottom of this list, and to me that's one of the risks, especially not directly because of generative AI.

如果你需要生成式 AI 来创作某些内容,那么你可能本来就不是 Photoshop 的重度用户。关键在于,AI 使其他公司能够创造出可能更便宜或对客户更友好的竞争性产品。所以,我们现在也可以看到它在盘前略有下跌。

If you need generative AI to create something, you probably weren't already a big Photoshop user. The point is, AI is enabling other companies to create competitive products that may be cheaper or more user-friendly for customers. So, we can also see now that it has fallen a bit in the pre-market.

他说在等
财报结果
令人失望的结果导致股价跌破262.50
下一个月度期限(9月18日)财报
若令人失望则支持看跌论点;若强劲则削弱该论点
09-03
4 Insanely Cheap Stocks to Buy Now
$ADBE看涨
Adobe具有吸引人的风险回报特征;尽管面临领导层交接风险以及低成本竞争带来的利润率压力,但营收增长加速和强劲的股票回购使其成为良好的长期持有标的。

这四只股票是 Adobe、MGM Resorts、Dick's Sporting Goods 和 Lyft。

Those four stocks are Adobe, MGM Resorts, Dick Sporting Goods, and Lyft.

其中之一是 Adobe。Adobe 是否存在增长问题?目前看来似乎并非如此。总收入继续以大约 10%、11%、12% 的增长率增长。实际上,在过去几个季度中,这一增长率还在加速。这确实是个好迹象。

One of them is Adobe. is there a growth problem with Adobe? Well, it doesn't really appear to be the case right now. Total revenue continues to grow at about a 10, 11, 12% growth rate. So that's actually accelerating over the past couple of quarters. That's really good to see.

他说在等
新任CEO的任命及战略方向
明确是坚持基于席位的销售模式,还是转向按使用量付费的AI模型
近期公司公告
清晰且成功的战略会降低不确定性并支持估值;持续的模糊或失败的转型则会削弱论点。
营收增长率和毛利率/营业利润率
增长率保持在10-15%区间,且利润率不被破坏
未来几个季度财报
若增长持续且利润率保持,则支持看涨论点;若增长放缓或利润率显著下降,则削弱论点。
5 Interesting Value Bets From Investing Quadrant
$ADBE看跌
Adobe并非特别有吸引力;市盈率15倍缺乏安全边际,且增长非内生,因此下调至橙色/吸引力较低。

过去一年我们讨论的下一家公司是Adobe。我们在这里能说什么?自从我们上次讨论它以来,我们已经获得了50%的利润,我们上次是在270,我们现在在这里。所以,是的,Adobe是一个买入的选择,但要注意与投资组合敞口相关的风险和回报。

然后当它像那样下跌时,你现在必须加仓,也许恢复平衡。现在我们在这里,就像6个月前一样。所以,现在的故事是,现在有什么样的赌注?我们运行了Excel程序来找出Adobe的价值。

The next company we discussed during the past year is Adobe. What can we say here? We have made a 50 % profit since the last time we discussed it , which we did at 270, where we are now. So, yes, Adobe is an option to buy, but be aware of the risks and returns associated with portfolio exposure. Then when it drops as it did, you have to add now and perhaps restore balance. And now we are here where we were just 6 months ago . So, the story now is, well, what kind of bets are there now? We ran the Excel program to find out the value of Adobe.

他说在等
9月10日财报
更新的重要性决定分类是否进一步改变
下周财报
如果积极势头证明更高估值合理,则削弱看跌理由;如果干扰或缺乏有机增长持续,则支持看跌理由
09-02
The Motley Fool发布 2026-09-02
2 Hated Growth Stocks Down Right Now — Should You Buy?
$ADBE看涨
Adobe是一个看涨案例;公司正成功整合并变现AI(如Firefly),以推动经常性收入并维持盈利能力,这与生成式AI将摧毁其业务的担忧相反。

是的。嗯,我觉得关于Adobe,评论中会有很多同意和不同意的地方。你知道,这是今年早些时候受到SaaS末日影响的那些公司之一。

Yes. Well, I feel like this is one that there there's going to be a lot of agreement and disagreement in the comments about Adobe. You know, this is one of those companies that was hit by the SaaS apocalypse earlier this year.

你知道,我认为一直存在这种担忧,由于生成式AI工具、AI代理的兴起,该技术的普及,以及它变得多么难以置信地准确和有用,你基本上会让几乎所有软件公司完全倒闭。我认为现在存在的软件公司中,绝对有一些在3到5年后将不复存在。

更早的记录
The Motley Fool发布 2026-09-02
5 Things to Watch With Adobe After Leadership Change
$ADBE未站边
Adobe面临竞争与管理风险,但其低估值(12倍市盈率)若能在增长持续的情况下提供潜在上行空间。

这是Adobe,股票代码为ADBE。给Adobe的业务实力打分,考虑行业和竞争等因素。10分代表无敌,1分代表毫无希望。你们俩都给了7分,Matt。

It's Adobe, ticker symbol ADBE. Rate the strength of Adobe's business, including factors like industry and competition. 10 is invincible, a one is hopeless. Both of you have sevens, Matt.

是的,我的意思是,Adobe仍然拥有庞大的用户群。这是一个粘性很强的用户群。使用过Acrobat、Premiere工具等的人,他们仍然会继续使用。月活跃用户超过8.5亿,同比增长20%,这相当令人印象深刻。

Yeah, I mean, Adobe still has a an enormous user base. It's a sticky user base. People who have used Acrobat, you know, you know, have the Premiere tools and all that, they'll they'll still use it. Uh monthly active users surpassed 850 million. It grew 20% year-over-year, which is pretty impressive.

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA发布 2026-09-02
My Top 10 Stocks to Buy Right Now in September
$ADBE看涨
Adobe值得买入,有超过20%的上涨空间至351美元;高转换成本胜过AI竞争和CEO不确定性。

接下来我要重点介绍的是Adobe,这家公司因今年早些时候的SAS末日而受到打击,但股价正在回升。尽管如此,我计算出Adobe股票有超过20%的上涨空间,因为我计算出的公允价值为351美元,而市场价格为292美元。

The next stock I'll highlight is Adobe, a business that was beaten down as a result of the SAS apocalypse earlier this year, but shares are recovering. Still, I calculated an upside of over 20% for Adobe stock as I calculated a fair value at $351 and a market price of $292.

我对Adobe持乐观态度的原因之一是高昂的转换成本。即使企业找到了一个有吸引力的利用人工智能的替代品,转换后可能会降低公司成本,但对于那些已经使用Adobe多年甚至几十年的组织来说,将其整个业务流程从Adobe转换到新系统的成本是如此之高,以至于转换成本高昂。

One of the reasons why I'm optimistic about Adobe is because of the high switching cost. Even if enterprises find an attractive substitute utilizing artificial intelligence that might cost the company less after they switch, the cost of switching is so elevated to switch their entire business process away from Adobe and into a new system is costly for organizations that have been using Adobe for years or even decades.

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