DELL 全部观点

Part of the reason this price has dropped to less than one dollar is probably due to the release of open weight models, which are getting stronger day by day. This is actually a positive indicator for parts of the economy, and it is one of the reasons why Dell's stock, which we follow on the channel - make sure to subscribe - has skyrocketed.

the title of our stream today being uh Dell, where it's headed next. So I want to talk about Dell, where you see this name going after earnings, etc. So Dell uh reported after the close on Tuesday, a blowout report.

stock has been great since then. You and the inner circle were active in the name uh after hours like during the report response after hours on Tuesday. I know Kier was trading it. Um yesterday the action a bit of a pullback yesterday.

just for clarity, we were active in the after hours buying it. We were active off of the opening pullback uh pretty aggressively buying it and uh then we were active yet again today on the pullback off the open. So three three different buys.

We will continue to follow the news from Dell. We touched on "Deal" just two days ago after its big profits, and look at the follow-up movement that happened today. Yesterday, with the move above this descending trendline, I said it would likely be difficult for "Dell" to confirm this breakout. Well, Dale mustered her strength and did so very clearly. A fantastic upward surge.

I mean, the Dell the Dell move yesterday was unbelievable. I I'm on the surface I'm disappointed because my bot made a mess of that trade. It just took a losing trade. It bought it at the wrong time and it missed the entire grind back. But I think I've got code deployed to fix that. However, this is why the machines aren't taken over yet. Human beings would have had a much better job much better opportunity trading Dell yesterday. I mean, it went for like 50 points intraday. Thing was an absolute monster.

Do I think Dell will get over 500? Dell was really hard yesterday. I'll tell you, you know, nice candle in Dell. Really nice candle. But, you know, I know very good traders yesterday that lost a lot of money in Dell. That was very predatory.

Dell, the boring company that you bought your laptop from in 2004, well, their stock price is up 278% over the past year. They just reported earnings, absolutely crushed it, and the stock is up 8.78% on the day.

On my personal watch list, the 173 stocks I track, Dell is number one today with the largest gain. So, why has Dell been winning? Well, they just had the biggest quarter in their 42-year history.

Revenue was up 58% year-over-year. Earnings per share was up 203% year-over-year. Operating income was up 204%.

We uh are really looking at this rocket ship of Dell today which is really impressive. Uh Dell now up 10%. Now it's uh come off a line over here. We have a line at 417 really rocketing right off of that post earnings here. Uh but we've been rubber banding around 417 on Dell for a while now coming back up to 466 which is also where we've been hanging out for a bit.

Let's focus on the [music] one-day chart for Dell, the company getting some reaction after reporting earnings late yesterday. Remembering this has run up 250% this year into the print. So, there had been a lot of high expectations. It cleared the bar. We're up another 4% right now.

Many analysts had told me that it did still have room to grow, particularly because of that AI server demand offsetting the bear case [music] for memory pricing. So, let's dig into the report that we heard from Dell and the reaction we're seeing from the sell-side analysts said this morning.

Okay, let's talk Dell. As we went into its earnings, expectations were high, especially given the run that it's had, but look it uh knocked the ball out the park. Yeah, I mean the bar was high, but they beat every metric. They raised guidance. You look at revenue overall grew 58% year-over-year. That beat by over $2 billion as far as revenue expectations. Adjusted EPS was up 203% year-over-year to $7.04. That was above the expected about $4.90.

Del just smashed earnings, suggesting the AI overbuild is nowhere close to finishing, which has been consistent with the thesis given that we really believe that the money coming from SpaceX and other companies is going to keep going into this vortex, whether it's the anthropic IPO or money raising, debt financing, whatever, it's all just going to kind of keep cycling into these AI hardware companies.

Just EPS came in at $74. That is well ahead of estimates for $4.92. Revenue was 46.97 billion, topping expectations of 44.92 billion. AI optimized server revenue that came in ahead of expectations at 16.4 billion, up 27% year-over-year, even against what was a very tough comp after last year's blowout growth.

And then Dell is raising its fullear AI server revenue target yet again now to $74 billion up from 60 billion. The strength also showed up across the broader infrastructure business with ISG revenue that is the division of Dell that sells enterprise hardware coming in ahead of estimates while gross and operating margins were both well above expectations.

it's a down day for a lot of the AI trade, Dell included. But we do have Dell reporting later today. So, let's go inside out and preview that report.

What are we expecting from Dell tonight? I mean, what have they got to say? Are we going to keep seeing AI demand offsetting the memory pressures? I do think Dell is in a very good position to figure out a way to offset that. You know, they're the largest of those uh kind of OEM system integrators uh in this space and they have a lot more pricing power than some of the smaller some of the smaller options.

and this week we'll see names like Dell reporting tomorrow.

So, let's look at Dell here. They had their AI server revenue jump to north of $16 billion last quarter. Its AI backlog was north of $51 billion. There was discussion then around whether this was just a massive backlog story or if this was a sustainable earning story.

We believe it to be very sustainable, very durable. Again, going back to founder-based investing, Michael Dell, one of the all-time great founders, sort of seeing around corners, and their move into AI gentic servers is you know, these AI servers to do the AI gentic work workload is is is you know, sort of par for the course on how he thinks about the world.

Next up and lastly, guys, Dell going into earnings tomorrow. Dell has pulled back pretty decently from its recent highs and most recently been making these recent highs. It did close out above a weekly topping tail. So, right now, Dell is kind of in no-man's-land, as you see here, trading right here on the 50% area of the parallel.

A breakdown underneath this inclining trend line for Dell tomorrow would not be good near term. As you see, that would then stack multiple levels of resistance going back up. First being this trend line, second being the 50% area of the parallel, and then third within eventually be this declining trend line on the charts. That would stack three different layers of resistance.

All right, let's go deep on Dell and tomorrow's earnings report. So, we think about Dell. Let's hear what your thoughts are when it comes to Dell for the earnings. Yeah. So, we have a great story for infrastructure providers like Dell, right? Great backlog coming into the quarter.

and so it's Dell's job to execute on that, get the best margins that they can, and then continue to expand their footprint in the enterprises. So, we're we're looking forward to I think a strong announcement tomorrow.

Could Dell stock be a massive beneficiary of the move to open weight models?

And how could Dell potentially be a massive beneficiary of those open weight models? Really important. So, we're going to talk about in this.

Probably does mean there's there's got to be some more cybersecurity spending on endpoint management and server management for people but Dell is very interestingly positioned to take advantage of exactly this transition to open weight models.