Rational Investing - Cameron Stewart, CFA 对 $RBLX 的判断变化

2026-08-26看跌
Roblox Stock: I Did the Math - SBC is OUT OF CONTROL!!
RBLX因持续经营亏损和过度的股票补偿稀释(5年内40亿美元,约占市值的20%)而不可投资。

Roblox。我们来看一下。嗯,收入不错。好的。收入同比增长 35%。利润率在增长。过去几年的毛利率有所上升。看起来早期是持平的,或者说又回到了 23%。对于一家软件公司来说,这似乎很低。23%。

Roblox. Let's take a look. Uh, nice revenue. Okay. Revenue growing 35% year-over-year. Margins are growing. Profit gross profit margin last couple years. It's moved up. It looks like it was flat early on or it's kind of returned to this 23. That seems low for a software company. 23%.

他们的收入成本是多少?是不是有很多开发者?这似乎……研发。天哪。15 亿美元的研发。看看这笔研发费用。拜托,各位。再加上销售和营销。这是你们的管理费用。他们可能有一大笔股票薪酬。

What is their cost of revenue? Is that many developers? That seems R&D. Oh my god. 1.5 billion of R&D. Look at this R&D expense. Come on, guys. Plus selling marketing. There's your admin. They probably have a good slug of stockbased comp.

2026-08-11看跌
Celsius Holdings (CELH) - 6x Cash on Cash Return!
RBLX缺乏吸引力;在约50亿美元营收下未能盈利,原因是费用过高(研发、SBC)。

Roblox。我不知道,伙计。你想看看那个吗?好吧,让我们看看。看看我们有什么。

Roblox. I don't know, man. You want to take a look at that? Okay, let's take a look. See what we got.

Roblox。让我们看看。不错的收入。好吧,收入同比增长35%,利润率在增长。过去几年毛利率在上升。看起来早期持平,或者回到了23%。对于一家软件公司来说,这似乎很低。23%。

他们的收入成本是多少?那么多开发者。那似乎是PG,PNG在你的雷达上。也许我们今晚可以谈到。看看我们有多少时间。研发。哦,我的天。15亿的研发。看看这个研发费用。拜托,伙计们。