The Intrinsic Value Podcast 对 $UBER 的判断变化

2026-09-05看涨
Uber Stock: Just Keeps Getting Cheaper
UBER是强力买入;市场对自动驾驶竞争的担忧被夸大,因为该竞争影响不到10%的利润,而核心业务基本面(利润率、广告、配送)依然强劲。

过去三年,Uber 的自由现金流增长了两倍,达到每年约 100 亿美元。然而,该股的交易价格仍低于我们 15 个月前首次在本节目推荐它时的价格。

Over the last three years, Uber tripled its free cash flow to roughly $10 billion a year. And yet, the stock trades below where it traded when we first pitched it on this show 15 months ago.

Whimo 最近以 1260 亿美元的估值融资,其市值实际上与 Uber 相同,尽管其收入仅为 Uber 的一小部分且尚未盈利。

With Whimo just recently raising money at $126 billion valuation, it has effectively the same market capitalization as Uber despite having a fraction of the revenues and being unprofitable.

市场显然表明它相信自动驾驶的未来,但并不一定认为 Uber 是受益者。因此,要么市场对我们拥有的最佳业务之一错误定价,要么机器人真的正在取代我们最大的持仓。

So the market is clearly saying it believes in the future of ABS and it doesn't necessarily see Uber as a beneficiary. So either the market is mispricing one of the best businesses we own or the robots are really coming for our largest holding.

2026-09-03看涨
Ranking our Portfolio Watchlist – Meta, CSU, Copart, Shopify (Tier List)
看好Uber;自动驾驶被视为潜在利好而非风险,利润率显著改善(从-40%升至+12%)提供支撑。

但我们也拥有很多伟大的公司。所以,我带着这些偏见进来,比如,如果我有1万美元可以投资,我可以把它投到Reddit、Uber或Alphabet,或者我可以投到Hermes,或者其他一百万种东西。

对我来说,如果我在谈论Hermes,我不能把它排在B TOC之上,因为我还不太想把它加入投资组合。

>> But we we own a lot of great companies, too. So, I I come in with these biases of like, you know, if I have, you know, $10,000 to invest, uh, I could either put it in in in Reddit or Uber or Alphabet or I could put in Hermes or, you know, a million other things. And, you know, for me, if I'm putting talking about Hermes, like I can't I can't rank it higher than than B TOC because I'm just I'm not that close to to wanting to add it to the portfolio.

2026-08-16看涨
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