PLTR 这一页 20 条观点条目，其中 0 条方向发生变化。
Palantir 有点陷入困境，我的意思是它处于上升趋势，别误会，但它显示出巨大的波动性，使得很难建立低风险仓位。
Palantir is somewhat stuck, I mean it's in an upward direction, don't get me wrong, but it's showing huge volatility that makes it very difficult to take a low-risk position.
我们之前提到过对 Palointer 和特斯拉股票的买入建议，但这背后有其逻辑，这反映了部分这种谨慎态度，尽管他们对硬件板块的看法也有其合理之处。
We previously mentioned buy recommendations for Palointer and Tesla shares, but there is a logic behind that, which reflects some of this caution, even though they also have a valid point about the hardware sector.
相反，正如我们今天早上提到的，与其在设备价格下跌时买入设备，我们建议买入 Palunteer，因为它已经达到了我们确定的支撑位。
Instead, as we mentioned this morning , rather than buying devices when their price drops, we recommend buying Palunteer because it has reached the support level we identified.
但如果我们转向 Palunteer 平台，这是我们今天早上初步评估时所依赖的平台，我们会发现我们非常接近 164 的支撑线，仅差 1 美元 40 秒。这对今天来说是一个积极的信号，尤其是在 Snowflake 股票面临抛售压力的情况下。
But if we move to the Palunteer platform, which is the platform we relied on in our initial assessment this morning, we will find that we came very close to the support line at 164, with a difference of only $1 and 40 seconds. This is a positive sign for today , especially with selling pressure on Snowflake stock.
那么其他软件在做什么？Palunteers。我的伙计们昨天在Palunteer的下跌中买了一点。我认为你需要小心。看看那个突破。希望它在第8天就停在那里。我想现在你可以说，这变得草率了。外面有太多草率。草率的九月。
So what's other software doing? Palunteers. Uh my guys bought a little bit of a dip in Palunteer yesterday. I think you need to be careful. Look at that break. Hopefully he stopped right there at the 8th day. I guess now you could say, "Hey, this is getting sloppy. So much sloppiness out there. Sloppy September."
Palantir。哦，我的天。我谈论这只股票已经很长时间了，我一直在想：到底发生了什么？这是基金，交易基金。我说，我们为什么不回到平均价格？我预计它不会超过168-170水平。
我因此对冲了资产。但它上涨了。它上涨了，我很困惑。我说：“发生了什么？”这继续攀升了额外的25天，实现了11%的跃升达到187，现在它终于开始向平均值回落。所以它在下跌。什么时候会停止？
就像英伟达、Meta，尤其是Palantir，因为在视频发布时，它的股价是每股109美元。在这个价位，我认为Palantir是一个很好的机会。Palantir的109美元价格非常不可思议。
因为在我看来，Palantir在2026年应该值140或150美元左右。在2027年甚至可能更高，也许170或180美元。总之，在109美元时，我对这只股票非常感兴趣。所以我不会在Palantir上使用轮动策略，因为我会感到害怕错过。
今天我们将讨论股市中的一些重大变动，包括 Palantir，我们也看到特斯拉的一些变动，并且我们将讨论我正在关注的下一次交易的一些关键设置。
today we're going to talk about some big moves in the stock market including Palantir, and we're seeing some moves in Tesla, and we'll be talking about some key setups that I'm watching for the next trade, guys.
在 DataDog 之后，各位，我们将看看另外两家大型移动公司，包括特斯拉和 Palantir。正如我之前所说，Palantir 上有一个我正在关注的主要水平。正如预期，我们看到小幅下跌。
SpaceX、特斯拉、Palo Alto和Palunteer开盘都上涨。全部上涨。我屏幕上显示的是SpaceX。这是Palunteer。
SpaceX, Tesla, Palo Alto, and Palunteer all up out of the gate here. All of them. I had SpaceX on the screen. Here's Palunteer.
特斯拉，我们谈到了Palunteer从18那里回来了。Palanteer是什么？我想我们谈过这个。Joe，你可能谈过这个。Palunteer可能正在接近一个阻力区域。是的，我想我们谈过可能是185、189。
长期以来，我一直认为 Palanteer 是估值过高公司的典型代表。但在深入研究之后，我实际上认为 Palanteer 从未像今天这样有吸引力。
I saw Palanteer as the poster child of overvalued companies for a long time. But after looking into it, I actually believe Palanteer has never been more attractive than today.
需要明确的是，这远非价值投资。去年，Palanteer 的估值倍数是以往的两倍，而增长率只有一半。现在这种情况已经完全改变了。
Well, to be clear, it's far from a value play. And last year, Palanteer traded at twice the multiple with half the growth. And that has completely shifted now.
我们还想要解释 Palenty 实际上是如何运作的，以及为什么它没有竞争对手。
And we also want to explain how Palenty actually works and why there's no competitor inside.
我们在大约 118 的时候发出了警报。Palantir 在第三季度爆发了，但你现在看到软件在扩张。
We got about at about 118 sent an alert for that. Palanteer's exploded here in the third quarter but you're now seeing software expand.
然后我们有 Palantir，我认为它现在的市盈率大约是 25 倍，这使其公允价值约为 222。说实话，我认为这大约低了 20% 到 30%。所以，我认为 Palantir 有接近 50% 的上涨空间。
Uh, and then we've got Palanteer, which I also think is probably at I think we're running this at like a 25 peg right now, which brings it to about a 222 fair value. Honestly, think that's about 20 to 30% too low. So, I think there's closer to 50% upside on Palunteer.
我目前持有Rocket Lab、特斯拉等公司的头寸，在SpaceX中也有非常小的头寸，因为我没有太多闲钱投入SpaceX。但我喜欢那家公司。我对它非常兴奋，我将致力于增加那个配置，还有Nvidia、Palantir，以及一些微策略。
I currently hold positions in companies like Rocket Lab, Tesla, a very small position in SpaceX right now just because I didn't have a lot of free capital to put into SpaceX. But I love that company. I'm very excited about that and I'm going to be working on growing that allocation but also Nvidia Palunteer um some micro strategies
在我看来，那个领域里公开市场的三大CEO将是埃隆、詹森和亚历克斯·卡普。在目前这个时间点，我觉得埃隆的公司和亚历克斯·卡普的公司都比Nvidia更被合理估值。
the top three public market CEOs in my mind in that space are going to be Elon Jensen and Alex Karp. at this point in time, I feel like Elon's companies and Alex Karp's company are both more fairly valued than Nvidia.
我们会看到的。Palantir 185，你知道，自从我们在 118 区间获得一些敞口以来，它就像一枚火箭。有点失望它涨得太快了。技术分析确实说它会涨，但我认为还有更多时间。所以，我希望我买了更多，像往常一样，但我仍然很高兴我们买入了，而且它涨得很好。我实际上认为它还有更多上涨空间。
We'll see. Palanteer 185, you know, one heck of a rocket ship since uh since we we got some exposure to this down uh in even the 118 range. Little disappointed it ran so fast. The technical analysis really said it was going to uh but I thought there was still some more time. So, I wish I wish I bought more as is usual, but um still happy we got it and uh it's it's really nicely up. I actually think there's still more upside in it though.
芯片、Palunteer、Nvidia。
The chips, the Palunteer, Nvidia.
Nvidia、Tesla 和 Palanteer 是常见的顶级持仓。
And Nvidia, Tesla, and Palanteer are the usual top holdings.
Palunteer 和 GameStop 也名列前茅。
Palunteer and GameStop are up there, too.
排名从 Nvidia 一直往下到 SpaceX、Palunteer、AMD 和 Tesla。
Palanteer 17750. in order down there from Nvidia all the way down to SpaceX, Palunteer, AMD, and Tesla.
目前 Palanteer 在这五只股票中上涨空间最小，为 8%。
Uh right now Palanteer has the smallest upside of the five with 8%.
Palantir 炙手可热，股价 177.50。我的意思是，多么热门的股票。今天上涨了近 5,000。
Palantir is red hot, 177.50. I mean, what a hot stock. That one up almost 5,000 here today.
Palantir 的投资者们，我有一些消息要告诉你们，好吗？或者那些对 Palantir 感兴趣的人，我也给你们上一课。
Palantir investors, I got some news for you, okay? Or people that are interested in Palantir, I got a little lesson for you in regards to that as well.
听着，Palantir 太疯狂了，好吗？这是从 6 月低点以来的走势。这是两个月的图表。所以，这是两个月前股价与今天的对比。它上涨了 65%。我的意思是，这太疯狂了。你知道，想一想。两个月内上涨 65%，对吧？
Listen, Palantir is insane, okay? This is from the June lows. This is a two-month chart. So, this is where the stock was two months ago versus today. It's up 65%. I mean, that's insane. You know, think about that for a moment. 65% move, two months, right?
他们的 Rule of 40 指标将再次超过 Palantir。是的，我实际上觉得 Palantir 更令人兴奋，因为其他公司是从巨大的瓶颈中获益，但 Palantir 甚至可能不会放缓增长。这是最疯狂的部分。
Faster than they'll have a bigger rule of 40 than Palanteer once again. Yeah, I actually think Palanteers is is more exciting because the other ones are benefiting off large bottlenecks, but Palunteers may not even slow down. It's the craziest part.
但我很好奇，从 Alex Karp 的角度来看，这对 AI 主权意味着什么？是否会有更多关于此的评论？另外，OpenAI 的员工被 Salesforce 挖角说明了什么？他们并没有从 Anthropic 挖人。
好的，现在让我们继续讨论我想谈的第四只股票，那就是Palanteer，因为我认为Palanteer拥有整个季度最好的财报，至少从我看到的来看是这样。那么，让我们看看亮点。这张截图显示，Palanteer的美国营收增长了115%，环比增长了23%。
美国商业营收增长了149%，美国政府营收同比增长了90%。总营收增长了93%，这意味着Palanteer的业务在同比基础上几乎翻了一番，这简直太疯狂了。经营自由现金流约为12.2亿，自由现金流利润率为63%。
嗯，Palantir的现金流收益率也大约是1%。
Uh you've got Palantir is also about a 1% cash flow yield.
比如，我们认为Palantir会进一步增长，超越他们多年前，比如5年前的那种政府曝光吗？哦，他们会扩展到商业领域吗？答案是绝对会。他们一直在扩张，你知道，商业收入将超过政府曝光。
Like, do we think Palantir is going to grow even more beyond just sort of like this government uh exposure that they had, you know, years ago, like 5 years ago, right? Oh, are they going to expand to commercial? The answer was absolutely yes. They keep expanding, you know, commercial revenues are going to exceed government exposure.
看看这个。Palantir这里有一点折扣。Palantir经历了一段疯狂的上涨，现在下跌了约4%。嗯，这里有一点回吐。我们在164有一个支撑线，我们会关注的。
Look at this. Getting a little bit of a discount here on Palunteer. Palanteer's had one heck of a run now down about 4%. Uh given a little bit of a give back here. We do have a support line at 164 we'll be paying attention to.
嗯，我们确实有一个价格目标，嗯，关于下周的指数。嗯，就这么说吧。这在我们课程会员的直播中，当然你可以在me.com上参与。嗯，价格目标比我们现在的位置要低。但是，嗯，我们实际上把这看作一个机会。
我们可以在这里谈谈Parent，这是我们下周三在节目中报道的一家公司。所以请继续关注，因为我觉得像微软这样的公司最终可能会在那里遇到一些问题。
We could talk about Parent here which is a company we cover on the show uh next Wednesday. So stay tuned for that because I feel like especially a comp company like Microsoft might get into some problems there eventually.
只是评论一下，我们今天没有把它列入名单，但Palanteer今天会是B，10年后也是B，CEO的执行力相当令人印象深刻。
Just one comment, we have it, we don't have it today on the list, but Palanteer would be B today and 10 years B execution of the CEO is quite impressive.
我同意，如果你听了那一集，我想过报道Palanteer，然后我想，从技术上讲，我们是价值投资频道，这不是一个价值投资标的。我们可以同意这一点。所以我想也许我必须给它B，就是不报道它。
I got to agree like if you listen to the episode um I thought about covering Palanteer and then I thought well technically we're value investing channel and it's not a value play. We can agree on that. So I was like maybe I have to b and just not cover it.
现在就在评论区猜猜他们的股票薪酬是多少。在50亿的营收中。我还没看这个。我们有公司开支5.8亿。在评论区猜猜你认为股票薪酬是多少，我们来看看。我猜是8000万，我不知道。我还没看，可能完全错了。我们等着瞧。
Let's take throw throw guesses in the comments right now on what their stockbased comp is. One the five billion of topline revenue. And I haven't looked at this. We've got corporate expenses 580 million. Throw me a guess in the comments for what you think stockbased comp is and we'll take a look. I'm guessing it's a I'm guessing 80 million and I don't know. I haven't looked at could be totally wrong. We'll see.
好吧，老兄。我们走吧。我的意思是，如果你在那里工作过，如果你能做到，如果你有能力走进董事会说：“我想要8亿美元的薪酬，谢谢。”然后他们说：“哦，哦，好的，没问题。算我一个。”
All right, dude. Let's go. I mean, if you've worked there, like, if you can do it, if you you have the chops to go into the board and say, "I'd like $800 million of comp, please." And they're like, "Oh, oh, yeah, okay. Sign me up."
Palanteer刚刚又交出了一份怪兽级别的季度业绩，正如我之前告诉你的那样。而且就像我在2022年这只股票还是6美元时告诉你的那样，我们在这家公司上还有很长的路要走。这远未结束。
Palanteer just dropped another monster quarter just like I told you it would. And just like I told you back in 2022 when this stock was $6. We still have a long runway to go with this company. This is far from the end.
看看实际数字，你会在今天的视频中逐行、逐数据地发现，为什么这些盈利证明Palanteer不仅仅是一家1万亿美元的公司。它可能实际上比那大得多。我可能实际上低估了这个业务的真正潜力。
Look at the actual numbers and you will find out in today's video line by line, data by data, why these earnings prove Palanteer is not just a $1 trillion company. It might actually be a lot bigger than that. I might have actually undersshot the true potential of this business.
